India’s win over Bangladesh hasn’t seen any major change in their odds. Having started the tournament at a best price of 3/1 with Ladbrokes who apparently took a bet of £82K on them, they are now into a best price of 11/4 with Sky Bet and Blue Square to win the tournament.
Their win over Bangladesh today was no major surprise, and although it was relatively comfortable, I would imagine that after posting 370/4 they probably would have expected a more comprehensive victory.
Although it was a defeat, in getting to 283/9, Bangladesh at least showed they are more than capable with the bat.
One massive – and not surprising – shift in the betting, sees Virender Sehwag’s odds on being tournament top run scorer cut from 11/1 to 3/1 with Bet365. Hindsight is a great thing, but 11/1 did look a big price on him.
Of tomorrow’s games, I see a comfortable victory for Sri Lanka against Canada, this looks like a no contest which is why the Sri Lankens are so short at a general 1/33. It’s probably buying money, but you’d need to have a lot of cash to make it a worth while bet.
There is 5/6 available at Ladbrokes on Sri Lanka hitting 5 sixes or more, but that bet would probably depend on Sri Lanka winning the toss and batting first.
Sunday’s earlier game is where there is a chance of an upset. The Kiwi’s look an accident waiting to happen to me. With Zimbabwe, Kenya and Canada in the same group, I can see them slipping up against someone.
The most likely candidates for causing a shock are Zimbabwe, but even so I’m still going to have a silly couple of pounds on Kenya
Throughout the world cup I’ll be posting all my bets ahead of the relevant games, it won’t be every game, just the ones where I fancy something or where I see something I believe to be good value. It’s not going to be a serious amount of money, just playing with a few quid for a bit of fun to see how I get on.
I am tempted to back the 5 or more sixes in the Sri Lanka game. If Sri Lanka win the toss and bat first, and the bet is still there I will have £5 on it at 5/6 with Ladbrokes, although I expect the bet to vanish if Sri Lanka bat first.
So the bets for tomorrow are £2 on Kenya at
Cricket Betting Blog
Good to see the Kenyans put up such a good fight. It’s always great for credability when you put up a tip and something like that happens. At least I didn’t get up too watch it, that really would have pissed me off.
As predicted, there was no sign of the 5 or more sixes bet at Ladbrokes this morning either, typical bookie.
I would go for the Saffas for the tournament Dean. They’ve never quite had a top spin bowler before, it was the only real thing they lacked. With Imran Tahir now playing for them I think they’re all-round very strong.
Agree that India would have wanted a more convincing victory. The other teams will not be worried as the old weakness of India’s bowling attack is still there. If the tigers got 283, one of the bigger sides would have got even more. India’s batsmen have to perform every game so the pressure is on. Even a par score could see them lose games relatively easily.
Cricket Betting Blog
Not really sure who I fancy at the moment, India are the obvious ones with home advantage, but from a betting point of view I wouldn’t touch them as they are way too short – and I’m far from convinced they will win it as well.
I think you’re right about all the pressure being heaped on their batsmen, they can’t afford to fail at all after the group stages, as it’s debatable whether they can defend a small total.
Saffers are a bit like India for me, in that I wouldn’t trust them not too blow it. But Tahir is a massive bonus for them.
I cannot profess to know much about betting, as my religion forbids it, but I would take a punt on South Africa myself if I could. What are their odds and are the odds any good?
Thing is though, in tournament format, you can never rule out the Aussies. They’re such tough so-and-sos.
England of course genuinely have their best chance for a long time. Big tournament for Broad with the slower ball bouncers. Look for them to get him wickets on these pitches. I dont like him as a cricketer, but he executes them very well.
Cricket Betting Blog
Proabably the best way Stani, I sometimes wish I’d never discovered betting as well.
I suppose SA are value, they are 5/1 (you win £5 for a £1 bet, and you get your £1 back) which is good value compared to India.
I wouldn’t rule out Australia either, or England or Pakistan for that matter.
Pakistan know the conditions well and – as the saying goes – on their day etc, etc.
While England and Australia can’t be totally rules out, but I think it depends on the wickets.
If England come up against India or Sri Lanka on a batsman’s paradise, that offers nothing to the bowlers, I can’t see anything other than an England defeat.
In a straight forward shoot out between the batsmen, India and Sri Lanka will beat England.
But if they get on one of those low scoring wickets, England are in business and I would back them to win more than they will lose in those condiditions as our major strength is our bowling/fielding units.
As for the Aussies, they will probably always be there or there abouts, it’s in their make up.