Steve Smith Total Ashes Series Run Spread

The Ashes is upon us, with the 1st Test starting at Cardiff’s Sophia Garden/Swalec Stadium tomorrow (Wednesday 8th July).

Australia’s Steven Smith will be looking to continue his remarkable run of form throughout the Ashes. A run which effectively started at the Oval back in 2013, when Smith scored his first century for Australia, and which has culminated (so far) with him becoming the World Number 1 ranked Test batsman.

Smith is favourite to be top Ashes run scorer, and obviously that makes him favourite to be the top Aussie run scorer. To top the overall Ashes series run scorer charts, Smith is a best price of 4/1 with Betvictor.

While to be the top Australian Ashes batsman, Steve Smith is a best price of 9/4 with bet365 (you can open a bet365 account here and claim a £200.00 Welcome Bonus).

Personally, I don’t think Smith can continue this form for much longer. He has just been promoted to Number 3 in Australia’s Test side, and with the possibility of him coming in early on in English conditions, I believe he might find the swinging Dukes ball not to his liking.

Steve Smith’s Ashes run spread with Sporting Index, is to Sell at 445, and Buy at 465, that means he would have to score (on average) around 45 runs every time he bats, assuming he bats 10 times (if you haven’t got a Sporting Index account, you can open one here and claim their £100 Welcome Package).

Coming in at Number 3, whether Australia dominate the series or not, it is pretty much a certainty that Smith will bat twice in all 5 Test matches. Depending on match situations, in the 2nd innings he will either be batting properly to possibly save a Test match, throwing the bat Warner style to set a target (like in most of the last Ashes series in Australia), or chasing a small target to win a Test match.

So unless it is a scenario where Australia are chasing a very small target to win a Test match, it looks like Smith will at least have the opportunity to fill his boots every time he bats.

I think it would take a brave punter to Buy Steve Smith’s runs at 465. I would probably leave this one, but if pushed to make a call, I think I would be selling Steve Smith’s runs at that particular spread.

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2015 Ashes Spread BettingTips

Ashes Spread Betting Tips

Mitchell Johnson’s wicket spread betting index for the 2015 Ashes series in England is Sell at 240 – Buy at 250. The way the spread works, sees Johnson get 10 points awarded for every wicket taken, with a 25 point bonus awarded for every 5 wicket haul (so if Johnson takes 5 wickets in an innings, he would get 75 points).

In the 2013/14 Ashes series down under, Johnson had an unbelievable series, taking 37 wickets, with three 5 wicket hauls. That would have netted him an extraordinary 445 points, totally smashing the spread.

Behind Johnson in the stats, came Ryan Harris with 22 wickets and one 5 wicket haul, resulting in 245 spread betting points. Then it was Stuart Broad with 21 wickets, and one 5 wicket haul, which would have seen him reach 235 points.

I would suggest the points totals of Ryan Harris and Stuart Broad are the more realistic figures in any 5 match series. I would totally discard Johnson’s 37 wicket haul as a one off freak show. It was an extraordinary achievement, but what are the chances of it happening again?

Personally, I think the best Mitchell Johnson will achieve is his spread, and I would be quite prepared to Sell Mitchell Johnson’s Ashes betting Spread of 240 points.

Please note, if Johnson misses a Test match, 51 points will be awarded for every Test he misses. So please don’t be under the impression that you can win money by Johnson not playing.

Back in the 2013 Ashes series in England, Graeme Swann took 26 wickets with two 5 wicket hauls, giving him 310 points. Swann was a top quality spinner playing on pitches prepared for him. After Swann (back in 2013) came Ryan Harris, he took 24 wickets in 4 Test matches with two 5 wicket hauls, that would have won him 341 points (he would have got an extra 51 for missing one Test match), actually putting him above Swann.

Stuart Broad and Jimmy Anderson both scored 270 points in 2013, which would be slightly above Johnson’s spread, but it shows that English style bowlers (obviously) prosper in English style conditions, which would surely make Josh Hazelwood a better bet if you are looking to buy points.

Josh Hazelwood’s spread points are Sell at 225 – Buy at 235. Personally I would expect Hazelwood to pick up 20 wickets quite comfortably in this series, and just one 5 wicket haul (along with 20 wickets) would put him above his Buy spread of 235.

If Hazelwood is too have an outstanding Ashes series, he could smash 235 points, and make over 300 points. Ryan Harris showed in 2013 what a good old fashioned English style line and length bowler can do, and Hazelwood has all those tools and a lot more.

Personally, I see Josh Hazelwood as a better wicket taking option in this Ashes series than Mitchell Johnson. So therefore my Ashes spread betting tips would be to Sell Mitchell Johnson’s Bowling Index at 240, and to Buy Josh Hazelwood’s Bowling Index at 235 points – both prices with Sporting Index.