Cricket Betting – South Africa V India

The test match down in Cape Town looks finely balanced at the end of Day 2 with India 220 runs behind with 8 wickets left.

I think India should be a bit disappointed to have let South Africa get to 362 all out after having them at 262/6. I thought that their ground fielding was fairly poor, especially when they needed to apply the pressure when Jacques Kallis was batting with the tail.

Kallis showed just why he is still by far South Africa’s best batsman, it was a brilliant innings and it only ended because he was chasing a wide ball while batting with the No.11.

Had he decent support at the other end who knows how many he could have made. All this while carrying an injury, it was an outstanding effort.

At the moment all 3 results are still on, South Africa need early wickets tomorrow to try and gain a 1st innings lead. The first session will be key to SA’s chances, if they are to have any chance Steyn and Morkel need to get amongst the wickets early on.

The draw is also still a very possible outcome as I can’t see either captain making any risky declarations. If SA can bowl India out for around 280-300, then when does Graeme Smith declare his 2nd innings? The problem with declaring against India is the Sehwag factor, as England found in 2009. Is any total safe?

India will be looking to just bat and bat on Day 3 and go past SA’s score and hopefully bring Harbhajan into play on Day 4. Paul Harris was troubling some of the Indian batsmen today, so what could Harbhajan do on a 4th or 5th day pitch?

Watching this match, I couldn’t help thinking that it is real competitive, hard fought test cricket at it’s best. South Africa fought hard to get to 362, against some testing bowling from the Indians.

India were then tested by Steyn and Morkel, as you would expect, and had to really fight to get to 142/2 at the close. They are showing that they are more than just flat track bullies at home, an accusation made about them (not by me) quite a lot.

South Africa have made sure that there are no batting paradises for India, in doing this they seem to have created more balance between bat and ball, which has provided a great test series so far. Let’s hope the next 3 days are just as good.

The Draw is now favourite at 9/10 with Stan James. South Africa are 13/5 with Bet365 and India, still the outsiders at 3/1 with William Hill.

Cricket Betting – South Africa V India

South Africa go into Sunday’s 3rd test at Cape Town as the bookies favourites in what looks to be a tight game to decide the series with India. At the moment SA can be backed at prices ranging from 13/10 to 11/8, not massive value in my view.

The draw also looks a tight price ranging between 5/4 and 8/5, with India coming in at a best price of 7/2.

I feel the bookmakers are basing their odds on home advantage here. On current form it has to be said that SA are not as far ahead of India as the odds would suggest.

In the 1st test at Centurion, SA had by far the better of the conditions and played well enough to exploit them to the full. I’m not saying that they only won because of the conditions, but they did play a big part in the outcome.

Then last week in bowler friendly (some might say, doctored) conditions at Durban, SA where taught a lesson by VVS Laxman as India levelled up the series in scrappy low scoring match.

I have read that Evan Flint, the groundsman at Cape Town has apparently said that the wicket tomorrow has tennis ball bounce and should be good to bat on for days 2 and 3, before taking spin on days 4 and 5.

Taking into consideration that India probably have the better batsmen, definately have the more dangerous spinner, along with the fact that India won the contest that wasn’t influenced by the weather, I’d have to say that at the moment the 11/8 on offer for South Africa dosen’t look very appealing. In fact it looks good value to lay on Betfair.

They have a good record here, but I wouldn’t let that influence me in predicting the winner of this game. History says a SA victory, they have only lost 3 times in 21 tests since readmission (all to Australia), but recent form and the pitch conditions point towards a draw or an Indian victory.

India are also the only value bet on offer, they are 7/2 with Bet365. The draw is short at 8/5 with Blue Square, while South Africa are a best price of 11/8 with William Hill.

No Pudding in Centurion

I am well aware that the Ashes isn’t the only series currently going on in the world of cricket and will be keeping an eye on the contest between the teams regarded as the best two sides in the world.

Obviously conditions at Centurion on day 1 suited bowling, but even so, India would have expected to do a touch better than the 136/9 they currently find themselves struggling on.

It is often said you can’t win a test on the first day, but you can certainly ensure you won’t win it, and that looks like what India have already achieved.

It was also a fairly safe bet that the South Africans were never going to prepare the sorts of pudding of a wicket that Sehwag and his pals are used to batting on for two days at a time in India.

With Steyn and Morkel bowling in testing conditions it was never going to be easy, they will give India’s batting a proper examination over the next 3 weeks. Conditions will no doubt be easier to bat in later in this series though, we will then see if this India batting line up is as good on the road as it is on their own lifeless flat tracks.