Bangladesh V New Zealand – Test Match Betting

Bangladesh V New Zealand – click here for Live Betting Odds

The first of two Test matches starts between Bangladesh and New Zealand in Chittagong on Wednesday, and although it isn’t the most enthralling sounding series, it is a fairly important series for the two teams involved.

A quick look at the ICC Test match rankings shows Bangladesh down at number 10, and New Zealand not far ahead of their hosts, in eighth place.
Bangladesh dropped down to the bottom of the rankings following Zimbabwe’s recent drawn series with Pakistan. Bangladesh have failed to kick on in the Test arena over the past couple of years, and they will surely have earmarked this Test series as a potentially winnable one. 
New Zealand have shown some good signs of improvement in the Test arena lately. They had the better of a hard earned drawn series at home to England earlier in the year, although they comfortably lost the return away series.
In the home draw against England, New Zealand played the better cricket (in my opinion) over the three Test matches. Okay, so they struggled a few weeks later in England, but conditions were perfect for the England attack.
If the Kiwi’s want to build on the impressive home performance against England, they have to be looking to win this series.
Although it was in a different format, Bangladesh doesn’t hold fond memories for New Zealand. The last time they were here (2010), the Kiwis were handed a 4-0 thrashing in the 50 Over format.
Of the nine previous Tests played between these teams, New Zealand have won eight, with one draw. Given the history between these two sides it is no wonder the Kiwis start this series as 1/2 favourites, a Drawn series is 5/2, and Bangladesh are 6/1 to complete a shock series win.

Full Fixtures
9th – 13th Oct – Bangladesh V New Zealand – 1st Test – Chittagong
21st – 25th Oct – Bangladesh V New Zealand – 2nd Test Dhaka  

Ashes Betting – No Bunny Onions

There was – in my view – one startling omission from the Ashes touring squad announced by England earlier this week.

I thought the decision to leave out Graham Onions in place of  an all bean-pole attack could have be a bit of a short sighted one, and potentially a huge mistake by the England management.

Nothing against the guys all picked, any regular readers of this website will know that I am a huge Chris Tremlett fan. Steven Finn is a long term project, leaving him out may have damaged his confidence, and Boyd Rankin’s good form and the fact that he looked more than at home in the recent ODI’s have seen him justifiably picked.

If any of those guys are really lucky to be picked, I suppose it has to be Tremlett. To be honest, I expected him not too make it into the squad. I know he was brought back into the England set up earlier in the year to re-familiarise himself with the group, with a view to him going on this tour, but I thought that Boyd Rankin would have just edged him out.

The reason I would have taken Graham Onions is the same reason why England have taken Monty Panesar.. quite simply for cover. In the cases of both Onions and Panesar, neither of them are in the class of Jimmy Anderson and Graeme Swann, but both are adequate cover.

I know that the selectors have basically decided one of Finn, Tremlett or Rankin could replace Anderson if he picked up an injury on the morning of a Test match, but would the lack of variation that the bean pole attack would give you really be adequate on all Australian pitches?

Maybe I am nitpicking, or maybe it isn’t practical to cover all bases, I don’t know. There is no out and out reserve wicket keeper (I know Jonny Bairstow is there) in the squad also, so clearly the selectors don’t see it as practical to cover every possible outcome.  

That said, I still feel very sorry for Graham Onions. I’m not sure it is the end of him for England, but his prospects don’t look good beyond this tour, when England will most probably be starting to look at younger bowlers.

I wouldn’t rule out the prospect of him being called onto this tour if there are a couple of injuries to bowlers though, but there is also Tim Bresnan to potentially come back, and assuming any replacements won’t be called up until a few weeks into the tour, Bresnan could be fit by them.

I was pleased to see Monty Panesar recalled, a lot of his off-field problems could be partially down to the fact he is not involved with England, this call up could give him plenty of encouragement and give him something to focus on. It also gives the England management plenty of chance to monitor him closely and see how he is doing.

Whatever Geoff Miller tells us about Gary Ballance’s call up not being a left field one…. it was. The biggest surprise to me about his call up though, was the lack of reaction/outburst from Nick Compton.

I am pleased to see England take a back up opener, although I suspect that Michael Carberry is as much cover for Gary Pratt, as he is for the openers – a good choice though.

The announcement of the England squad has had little effect on the Ashes Betting odds, as England are still the odds on favourites with the bookmakers. Full odds are Australia 7/4, Drawn Series 9/2, England 5/6 (there is a £25.00 free bet for new customers opening an account).

Cricket Tipster

For any visitors coming to this site looking for cricket tips, I’d like to point you in the direction of Cricket Tipster, a cricket tipping subscription service I have recently stumbled across.

Personally, I don’t like giving out cricket tips, as in the long run I believe they can lead to trouble. A couple of losses, and you have people on your back, your tips are rubbish, you’re a fraudster, etc, etc……

It’s for these reasons why I tend to try and avoid tipping and just stick to giving a view on how I think things might pan out, ie, weather, form, pitch, or if a price looks value or not. That way I’m not giving a definitive view on what I think might happen, so therefore I can’t get hammered when I (usually) call things wrong.

Cricket Tipster is a subscription service that can be bought in many differing currencies. It is £37 + VAT, which equates to around 44 British Pounds, 55 Euros, 68 US Dollars, or 4,300 Indian Rupees, to name but a few currencies, Paypal is also accepted.

Cricket Tipster also comes with a 60 day, 100% Money Back Guarantee, so you can effectively try it out free for a couple of months, and if you don’t like it, just get your money back.

This is what I usually look for when I am considering purchasing a betting system. If the systems owners/developers are willing to basically let you try it for free, then they are obviously confident that their product is good, and will stand up too scrutiny.

The man behind Cricket Tipster is Anth Raine. Anth is a former Ladbrokes betting shop manager, and as a result of this, Anth knows which markets generally don’t get the required attention from odds compliers, so he knows that mistakes happen in these particular markets.

Predicting Team A to beat Team B will most probably be priced up correctly. It’s the more obscure markets that the mistakes will happen in, and this is where Anth’s knowledge comes into play. A quick look at the screenshot below shows how Anth can spot a misaligned price in one of these such markets.

I’ve spent years following cricket betting, and I have to agree with this view that bookmakers can get these things wrong more often that they would like to admit too… not just with cricket as well.

Cricket Tipster claims the success of his system is down to the bookmakers inability to price up these cricket markets correctly, and I would believe that there is plenty of substance in that claim. And as a result, plenty of opportunity to profit.

So if you like the sound of this, and wish to try out the Cricket Tipster service, please click here….  PS, don’t forget there is a 60 day back money back guarantee, meaning you can effectively try the service free!

Shock Horror, Another Test Match To Follow

Shock horror, don’t pinch yourself, you are not dreaming, but there is another Test match starting tomorrow morning in Zimbabwe. Not a marquee fixture, granted, but nevertheless hosts Zimbabwe are taking on Pakistan in the 5 day format in Harare.

This is the first of a two match Test series, with the 2nd Test due to be played in Bulawayo on 10th September.

This match was in doubt up until Monday afternoon due to the Zimbabwean players threatening not too take the field due to a dispute over unpaid salaries.

All of these off-field upheavals surely can’t have helped Zimbabwe, and the cricket betting odds suggest this with the hosts massive outsiders. Online bookmakers have Pakistan at 2/7, The Draw 7/2, and Zimbabwe 10/1.

Pakistan looked nailed on really, all the indications point to a win for the visitors. On top of the dispute over money, Zimbabwe have struggled to take wickets to such an alarming extent that even their coach, Andy Waller seems to be suggesting his team will struggle to get the 20 wickets needed to win a Test match.

Onto Betfair cricket trading, and this looks like it could be one of those Test matches that doesn’t have great liquidity, but can still offer plenty of trading opportunities. Sometimes in these sort of non marque matches, there are massive gaps in the markets that can be exposed – particularly overnight.

Rather than just getting stuck into the Pakistan win bet, I think I will start off by looking to pinch a couple of quid here and there from trading. And then wait and see how the match develops, before maybe having a bet later on.

Ashes Betting, 5th Test, Day 5 Betting

This game looks pretty dead as a betting contest unless you fancy opposing the Draw in any way. At the start of Day 4, the odds are currently – The Draw 1/25 – Australia 10/1 – England 66/1.

As I write, the covers are on with 30 minutes to go until the scheduled start of play, and rain is ‘forecast’ to dominate Day 4.

Some might see 1/25 on the Draw as buying money, but the UK weather forecasters are renowned for not been the most accurate in the world, and I most certainly wouldn’t call it buying money.

There is a possibility of some play today, and if/when they do get out today, conditions are surely going to suit bowling. If Australia could get enough play in to bowl England out short of the follow on target, then there could be some life left in this match yet.

If England do end up following on, then they only have themselves to blame really, as they have already batted enough overs to have comfortably made the follow-on without taking too many risks.

I’m not criticising England for not been entertaining yesterday, but I do think they almost played too slow for their own good – and they certainly should be wary about playing cricket to the weather forecast.

For all the moaning about England’s batting yesterday, it isn’t England’s job to entertain. Although I have already said I believe they already should have reached the follow-on target, I can see the logic behind England’s tactics.

Australia have their tails up. They are getting loud and cocky again, Lehmann seems to be creating an atmosphere in the camp, and seems to be bringing back that Aussie brashness of old. If they can go back to Australia with a win, and some good old fashioned Pom bashing headlines, they could whip the public up and regain some self belief.

In doing what they are, to me England are dampening Australia’s enthusiasm and draining their – new found – self belief. It’s like England are saying to Australia, ‘the odds are stacked in your favour, it’s a dead rubber, we’re playing an experimental side, and you still can’t beat us.’

So I don’t blame England really. While from Australia’s point of view, they will claim the weather has robbed them (again), but until the Aussies bowl England out, I don’t really see how they can blame the weather.

Ashes Betting, 5th Test, Day 2 Betting Preview

Well, if I was surprised by Australia’s team announcement on Wednesday, it’s fair to say I was absolutely stunned by England’s yesterday, as I did not see that coming in any shape or form.

It totally wrecked the betting yesterday as it was impossible to back England with any confidence, and it showed just why England had been drifting most of the morning.

If anyone doesn’t believe that some people are in the know about these things long before us mere mortals, then just look at England’s odds yesterday – prior to the team announcement.

Anyway, the cricket betting odds at the start of day 2 sees The Draw at Evens, Australia at 6/4 and England at 9/2.

It’s really all stacked up against England now, unless they can bowl Australia out in around a session today, the game is gone. Not only have England got to bat fourth on this wicket, they are effectively down to 3 bowlers – they have been since before lunch on Day 1.

Jimmy Anderson, Stuart Broad and Graeme Swann bowled England right back into the match after lunch yesterday. The session of cricket was proper Test cricket, and at one stage Australia were really straining under the pressure built.

Fair play to Shane Watson, he held firm and he held the Aussie batting together. I’m not convinced he is a long term number 3, but if he carries on like that, there will be no argument.

I had to laugh when I listened to Watson’s interview after the end of play. When he was asked about getting his (DRS) review right for once, he rather foolishly (in my view) declared that he thought it was an umpires call, so his ‘out’ decision would have been upheld.

So Watson effectively said that he thought the review wouldn’t be overturned, and that the Aussie team would have lost a review, showing that some things don’t really – or probably never will – change!

With England, and although it’s easy to hammer them for their team selection, at least they were prepared to experiment. I wish they hadn’t, but we can’t have it both ways. I suppose the best way to look at it from now on is, I won’t criticise them in future for being too rigid.

Despite the criticism Chris Woakes has received, I think he was picked more for his batting than his bowling, so he has a second chance to put things right – although he certainly didn’t do himself any favours with his bowling yesterday.

While the only real consolation for Simon Kerrigan is that today surely can’t be any worse than yesterday. I think Monty can safely piss on the heads of as many nightclub doormen as he wants from now until the announcement of the Ashes squad, and still be a safe pick.

On a serious note, others haven’t always been dropped when they have got into trouble. So if Monty gets his head down from now until the end of the season, I see no reason why he shouldn’t be recalled for the Ashes tour.

Using a tweet I seen last night to finish with, it read Kerrigan can still save his reputation with a well made 98 batting at No.11 #Ashes – source was the excellent @RichieBenaud_ 

Ashes Betting, 5th Test Betting Preview

Can England create history and make it 4-0? This seems to be the main question now. Will England be true to their word and look to create history? Or will a leggy England turn up in body, but not in mind and get beat?

And what about the Aussies, can they really recover from the crushing blow of Durham? Or are they now totally shot and just looking to get the tour over with, and back home?

The odds seem to suggest most think England will win, but without the conviction of earlier in the series. Ashes betting odds sees England at 11/10, The Draw at 9/4, and Australia are 11/4.

England have been odds on at the start of most (maybe all) Test matches so far this series. So a drift to odds against suggests cricket betting punters aren’t totally convinced by them.

I see it going one of two ways with England, as the shackles are basically off as there is now no pressure of a drawn series, England may well go out and play with freedom and flare, and destroy Australia. Or they may just turn up, feeling tired and lethargic, go through the motions, and get beat.

As for the Aussies, well I don’t know where to start. I don’t really want to hammer them on here and then have to watch them beat a complacent England going through the motions, but what on earth are they doing with their team selection?

Bringing in James Faulkner for Usman Khawaja, what’s that all about. I get having a look at James Faulkner, but at the expense of a batsman?

Their batting is clearly their weak point, so how do they strengthen it by dropping a batsmen for another all rounder (to go with ShaneWatson and Steve Smith), and moving Brad Haddin up to number 6? What’s that all about, and what does it do for the confidence of Usman Khawaja and Phil Hughes?

If the two are to be jettisoned permanently after this series, and Australia have already decided this, and have other batsmen (not on this tour) in mind, then fair enough. If not, then it is more chopping and changing, and more undermining players, as what does Phil Hughes have to do to get a recall to this batting unit?

Mitchell Starc is back again, he must feel like he’s been doing the hokey-cokey on this tour. And speaking of the hokey-cokey, Shane Watson has got another move in the batting line up, with a promotion (yes, a promotion) up to number 3….. ahead of Khawaja and Hughes.

I could be proven wrong, but I’m afraid as it stands, I really just don’t get it.

The pitch is supposed to be another dry dust bowl expected to turn later in the Test match. Although there is a rumour that it is supposed to be quicker and bouncier than usual. Looking at the pitches Andy Flower has had prepared so far this series, a quick and bouncy pitch seems a bit unlikely to me.

Even allowing for a change to the pitch with the series over and the expected return of Chris Tremlett, will the groundsman have had time to readjust from what he has already been preparing?

The last 5 matches at The Oval have seen results. Some of them have been down to teams needing to force a result, and some have been because teams are already on the plane home. This makes getting a feel for how the wicket behaves more difficult, because conventional cricket methods (when to declare, etc) can go out the window.

Onto the weather, and the forecast looks decent, although there is potential thunder storms predicted, but overall I don’t expect much play to be lost.

From my betting perspective, I suspect a flat batting pitch, so I would want to see how it behaves before I have a bet. There seems to be a bit too much uncertainty about the pitch as things stand. I also want to see who wins the toss before getting  involved, as it could be a problem for whoever has to bat fourth on this wicket.

Ashes Betting, 4th Test, Day 4 Betting

I nearly accepted the tide had turned before play started yesterday, and as England toiled on 49/3 just after lunch yesterday, I was ready to finally admit it had.

Then along came Ian Bell, and he spared me the indignity of having to come on here today and concede defeat.

Bell has put England back on the front foot, and this is reflected in the cricket betting odds as the bookies now price it up as England 8/13 – The Draw 10/3 – Australia 10/3.

Although England are on the front foot, they are still not save. England still need the tail to wag. Matt Prior isn’t having his most productive series to date, so Ian Bell will have to stay in this morning if England are to set the Aussies 300 to win.

Rain is also predicted today, which is probably what is keeping the draw price so short.

Australia will have a good go first thing this morning, seeing them off will be the first task for Bell and Bresnan. Ryan Harris will no doubt put everything into his bowling this morning and go for broke. He has nothing to lose now, the series will be dead for Australia if they don’t win this Test match. It’s pointless Harris saving himself for the 5th Test now.

From a betfair cricket trading perspective, I managed to turn my 13% (of betting bank) loss into 5% profit with an overnight trade on the draw.

I knew there was rain expected today, at the close of play yesterday I backed the draw at 5.3, and then put a lay up at 4.4 and left it overnight. When I got up this morning, it had been matched. The draw was actually available to lay at 3.9 when I checked…. much to my frustration.

I think I will adopt a watching brief now, and wait and see if the weather offers up any decent trading opportunities.

Ashes Betting, 4th Test, Day 3 Betting

I’m on the verge of accepting momentum has turned, but not quite yet. Definitely Australia’s Test match so far, and this is reflected in the betting, as the online bookmakers now have Australia as odds on favourite.

The current cricket betting odds are Australia 4/5 – England  5/2 – The Draw 3/1.

I think the odds represent a fair reflection of where the match is. It isn’t impossible for England to get back in this Test match. If they could bowl Australia out with a 50 run lead and then bat well, they could regain parity.

Even if England could bowl Australia out cheaply this morning (the more likely of the two scenarios), they haven’t shown the form with the bat to suggest they could bat Australia out of the Test match though.

Rain is in the air later for Day 4 and 5, so that keeps the Draw in with a slight chance.

I was very happy for Chris Rogers getting his century. It was a good innings, possibly a match winning one. He threatened it at Old Trafford, and I was pleased to see him complete the job this time.

Rogers unfortunately seems to be one of these ‘unfashionable’ cricketers who will never be accepted by some, and will always have that stopgap feel about his career. Not my view, just the vibe I pick up. So it’s good to see him get some glory and positive headlines for a change.

I seen Mike Selvey tweet earlier that it was the best century of the series so far, not sure I’d totally agree that it was the outright best, but it’s certainly up there with the earlier Bell centuries as one of the best of the series.  

I’m in a bit of a hole with my Betfair cricket trading. I was laying Australia yesterday, and things were going well up until the Rogers, Watson partnership. I suppose I can’t keep expecting Watson to get himself out in the 20’s, so serves me right.

It’s not a massive all round loss, about 13% of betting bank at the moment. Although I’m not convinced Australia will win, I think I will play safe and square my loss up this morning, and just take my medicine. My main concern is that I just can’t rely on England’s batting.

Ashes Betting, 4th Test, Day 2 Betting

Australia are certainly in the driving seat after yesterday’s odd display from England, and the online bookmakers now make the visitors the favourites.

The cricket betting odds for this match are now Australia 10/11 – England 11/8 – The Draw 11/2.

The draw price collapsed yesterday along with England’s batting. I still wouldn’t completely rule it out as the weather is a bit unpredictable, but from what we have seen of the majority of the batting so far in this series, it would be a brave call to predict we could get enough quality batting, or rain, to prevent a result here.

Yesterday I pretty much dismissed talk of Australia having all the momentum as over hyped rubbish. I’m standing by that – for the time being. Or to be more accurate, I’m standing by that until after Australia have batted on this wicket (in the hope they will also collapse).

Fair play to Nathan Lyons, with all the mixed signals he seems to get from the Aussie hierarchy it’s no wonder he looks about 15 years older than he is, but I was generally pleased for him yesterday.

He has had to endure getting dropped for the unknown Ashton Agar, and then put up with all the talk of Fawad Ahmed getting drafted in as some sort of super hero. A bloke who in is in his 30’s, and for some unknown reason – despite having not made it yet – is being lorded as some sort of spin bowling saviour of Australian cricket.

None of which can be too helpful for Nathan Lyon’s confidence.
  
As for England, I don’t quite get exactly what they were trying to do yesterday. I kind of got the morning session, get through a tricky spell of testing conditions and the new ball….. but after that???

After lunch it seemed to be all out attack one minute, followed by a spell of block, block, and more blocking, the next. The only consistent thing from lunch onwards, was the continuous fall of English wickets. Usually when England collapse, it’s done in a cavalier manner, yesterday was just odd and very confusing.

In all fairness Australia played well yesterday. I don’t want to make it sound like I’m saying the match situation is as it is because England were rubbish, as in the main, it’s down to the Aussies bowling well.

I’m not convinced Australia won’t also struggle on this wicket though. Conditions could be bowler friendly on Saturday, and England may well be able to bowl their way back into the match.

Alternatively, it could already be the case that England haven’t got enough runs to defend. The momentum may have already turned, and it could well be the case that I’m wrong again.