We now know how good a score England’s 1st innings total is, looking at the way Australia went about their batting today shows just how short England’s top 5 were when they batted on day 1.
There is a big shift in the betting tonight with England now out to a rather large looking 8/1, Australia haven’t changed that much at 9/4 with most bookies now. The real mover is the draw, now a best price 4/7 and as short as 1/2 with some firms.
Australia batted themselves back onto the front foot on day 2 with a lesson on how not to throw your wicket away. Ponting and Katich both scored centuries with only Katich giving a flicker of a chance to England’s bowlers with a sharp return catch to Flintoff down by his ankle on his follow through which he failed to hold.
The English bowling tactic of waiting for something to happen after they couldn’t get the ball to swing only works when you come up against a batting line up like their own, or West Indies, New Zealand etc.
If they want to get back into this test match they are going to need to come up with some ideas very fast in the morning session. If, as it looks likely now Australia build a 1st inning lead England will find themselves batting to save the match, a job they are not too clever at as all followers of English cricket know only too well.
Whether the Aussies are value at 9/4 at the moment is debatable, the fact that Saturday’s weather forecast isn’t great is probally why the bookies are favouring the draw. Personally I wouldn’t back the draw at that price though.
The draw is favourite at 4/7 with Bet365
Australia are 9/4 with William Hill, VC Bet, Totesport and Ladbrokes
England are 8/1 with Paddy Power, Sportingbet and Betfred
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