All the rumours and stories coming out of the UK media who are currently based in Australia are suggesting that Chris Tremlett is the shoe in for England’s much talked about third seamer at the Gabba later this week.
A lot of this opinion seems to be formed on the back of comments made by England bowling coach David Saker, but could it be a bluff to try and trick the Aussies?
Either way, it doesn’t appear to have made any difference in the betting, as Tremlett is still available at 8/1 to top the wicket taking charts for England.
That makes him joint fifth favourite along with Boyd Rankin, and significantly still behind Steven Finn, who is fourth favourite.
The news that Tim Bresnan could be available for the second Test could also be another reason why the odds on this market don’t appear to have changed on the back of the Tremlett rumours.
There are so many factors to take into account if betting on this market. If everyone is fit and well, Bresnan is generally the third seamer, but England clearly expect pace and bounce given their squad selection, which goes slightly against Bresnan.
The job of third seamer is also a precarious role in the team. If England have a bad Test, and the selectors feel the need to freshen things up, they are not going to drop Anderson, Broad or Swann, so that only leaves the third seamer’s position.
So even if Tremlett does start in Brisbane, the chances are that he won’t start all 5 Test matches. But then again, if Broad or Anderson get injured, he may well do.
These are probably just some of the reasons why Tremlett’s odds haven’t really changed on the back of this news. And it goes some way to showing why picking the Top England Ashes Bowler is such a hard call.