Australia 4/5 for another Whitewash

Only two more matches – or torture sessions as they could be known –  are now left for Alastair Cook to endure, and judging by his comments after losing the series in Sydney, they could be his last two matches as captain.

Such has been Australia’s dominance throughout the whole tour, that the 4/5 currently on offer for another Australian victory is not for them to win the 4th ODI, but to win final two ODIs, and complete another Whitewash of England (Australia are 4/5 to win the series 5-0 with William Hill).

I can’t remember a time when two supposedly evenly matched teams had such one sided odds, 4/5 is usually the sort of price you would get on a team winning one ODI, not two.

This tour has been a complete disaster for Alastair Cook, it really is hard to see how he comes back from this. This has more than likely finished him off as captain, maybe in both formats, and it could have also done untold damage to him as an international cricketer.

I have my views on the level of importance given to 50 Over cricket by England, and I will vent that on another day, but suffice to say that resting some of England’s better 50 Over cricketers probably hasn’t helped the cause.

I’m pretty sure they would have defended that total in the 2nd match had Stuart Broad been playing, as he should have been.

That’s all water under the bridge now, and despite Cook claiming the other night that he won’t leave anything out on the field over the last two matches, it’s hard to see what he has left to give.

Australia are resting Michael Clarke, Brad Haddin, David Warner and Shane Watson for the 4th match (resting players after a series is won, what a novel idea), and even taking that into consideration, they are still 4/9 favourites to win the match.

And before anybody reminds me that Mitchell Johnson was rested at the start of the series, I am aware of that. My point is England went too far after they rested Kevin Pietersen (probably dropped), Stuart Broad and Jimmy Anderson. Not a luxury you can afford after a Test thrashing, and already without Swann and Trott.

Pretty much sums up England from at least as far back as the squad selection (and beyond to be honest)…… mixed up thinking!

Anyway, the odds with William Hill (new customers get a £25.00 Free Bet) for Friday’s match from Perth are Australia 4/9, England 7/4.

Foe the series result, the odds are…..

Australia 3-2 is 8/1
Australia 4-1 is 11/8
Australia 5-0 is 4/5

Boyd Rankin 8/1 To Be Top Ashes Bowler

There’s now less than two months to go until the start of yet another Ashes series, and with the England squad now named, I thought I would have a look at the cricket betting odds for the top English bowler.

The name and the odds that immediately jumped out at me, was that of Boyd Rankin. Until the start of the recent ODI series against Australia, I would imagine Rankin would have only been an outside bet for a place on the tour.

Such was the performances of Rankin against Australia, he hasn’t only played his way into the squad, he may well have played his way into the starting XI. With this in mind, I think the 8/1 on Rankin being top English bowler looks a half decent price.  

A quick look at some of the other runners and riders tells me that the pitches probably won’t suit Graeme Swann, Monty Panesar won’t play unless there are injuries, and Ben Stokes will only play if England need to change tactics to get a result, so in theory he will only have a realistic chance of playing one to two Test matches.

Chris Tremlett is probably behind Rankin in the pecking order, leaving Steven Finn and Rankin vying for the final Test place. Steven Finn’s form hasn’t been great, but he does have Ashes experience down under. That said, I can still see Rankin possibly getting the nod ahead of Finn for the 1st Test.

That just leaves two smallish spanners in the works, in the shape of Anderson and Broad.

Jimmy Anderson seemed to struggle after the 2nd Test last summer, I don’t know whether he lost some of his edge, was fatigued, or was just a bit out of form. I know Anderson had a successful tour last time down under, but on the whole he hasn’t had his most successful times overseas, and the conditions aren’t going to be tailor made for him in Australia.

And finally Stuart Broad, who I think is the more in form of the two bowlers. The pitches will suit Broad, and he looked in reasonable rhythm at the end of the last Ashes series. He could also thrive under the expected pressure he looks likely to be put under. So I certainly wouldn’t rule Broad out of being top English bowler.

Personally, I wouldn’t be backing Anderson or Swann at their current prices, and while I think Broad could be the top performer, he is only 3/1. It would be some achievement for Rankin to be the top wicket taker, and just to clarify (as I don’t like giving tips), I’m not saying I think he will definitely be top the English bowler, I’m just commenting that he looks decent value at 8/1, and that I am going to have a bit of it.

Ashes BettingTop English Bowler

James Anderson 2/1
Stuart Broad 3/1
Graeme Swann 3/1
Steven Finn 6/1
Chris Tremlett 8/1
Boyd Rankin 8/1
Ben Stokes 20/1
Monty Panesar 20/1

A small hint….. if you open a William Hill account, you are entitled to a £25.00 Free Bet. This free bet could then be used for series bets like top bowler, or top batsmen, etc. These sort of bets are more ‘bit of interest bets’ to me, so free bets are ideal to use for them.

Ashes Betting, 4th Test, Day 2 Betting

Australia are certainly in the driving seat after yesterday’s odd display from England, and the online bookmakers now make the visitors the favourites.

The cricket betting odds for this match are now Australia 10/11 – England 11/8 – The Draw 11/2.

The draw price collapsed yesterday along with England’s batting. I still wouldn’t completely rule it out as the weather is a bit unpredictable, but from what we have seen of the majority of the batting so far in this series, it would be a brave call to predict we could get enough quality batting, or rain, to prevent a result here.

Yesterday I pretty much dismissed talk of Australia having all the momentum as over hyped rubbish. I’m standing by that – for the time being. Or to be more accurate, I’m standing by that until after Australia have batted on this wicket (in the hope they will also collapse).

Fair play to Nathan Lyons, with all the mixed signals he seems to get from the Aussie hierarchy it’s no wonder he looks about 15 years older than he is, but I was generally pleased for him yesterday.

He has had to endure getting dropped for the unknown Ashton Agar, and then put up with all the talk of Fawad Ahmed getting drafted in as some sort of super hero. A bloke who in is in his 30’s, and for some unknown reason – despite having not made it yet – is being lorded as some sort of spin bowling saviour of Australian cricket.

None of which can be too helpful for Nathan Lyon’s confidence.
  
As for England, I don’t quite get exactly what they were trying to do yesterday. I kind of got the morning session, get through a tricky spell of testing conditions and the new ball….. but after that???

After lunch it seemed to be all out attack one minute, followed by a spell of block, block, and more blocking, the next. The only consistent thing from lunch onwards, was the continuous fall of English wickets. Usually when England collapse, it’s done in a cavalier manner, yesterday was just odd and very confusing.

In all fairness Australia played well yesterday. I don’t want to make it sound like I’m saying the match situation is as it is because England were rubbish, as in the main, it’s down to the Aussies bowling well.

I’m not convinced Australia won’t also struggle on this wicket though. Conditions could be bowler friendly on Saturday, and England may well be able to bowl their way back into the match.

Alternatively, it could already be the case that England haven’t got enough runs to defend. The momentum may have already turned, and it could well be the case that I’m wrong again.