Ashes Betting, 4th Test Betting Preview

If all the reports are to be believed, Australia are in the driving seat, they have all the momentum, and now should roll England over quite easily in the 4th and 5th Test matches to draw the series 2-2.

And that’s just for starters, after that, they are going to destroy England in the return series down under.

Don’t quite see it that way myself. England don’t have to be cautious any more, I think the pressure is off them now, and I expect them to be more like the England side that played at Lord’s.

I agree that England were poor and outplayed at Old Trafford, and Australia would have easily won, had it not been for the rain. They certainly need to buck their ideas up ahead of the 4th Test, that’s for sure. They seem to have slipped into a ‘let’s just do enough mentality,’ and that could cost them in the long run.

That doesn’t mean this will be the pattern that the rest of the series will follow though, despite what the media have been telling us all week.

Cricket betting punters seem to disagree with much of the media also. If Australia are so nailed on why are the cricket betting odds as follows???

England are 10/11 – The Draw is 13/5 – Australia are 11/4

We could be wrong though, I certainly was with my betfair cricket trading selections last weekend!!! There was a point on Saturday when I could have traded out for a nice profit, but I decided to stay in my trade, and it ended up costing me all of my series winnings so far.

When Matt Prior and Stuart Broad were at the crease, I could have took a reasonable size win there and then. Instead I took the position that Australia might wrap up the tail, and I could win more. I don’t think that was the worst trading tactic to employ, my mistake was not getting out for scratch after it didn’t happen.

Even after that I could have got out for a single figure loss, but I put too much emphasise on believing Michael Clarke would make a generous declaration, and in my delusion, took my eye off the weather. My mistake, and I rightly got punished for it.

Onto today’s Test match, and like Old Trafford, Durham’s Riverside Stadium doesn’t have much recent Test match history to go on (this is only the grounds fifth Test match).

In the past, I’ve regarded Durham as a seaming wicket, which I believe is more down to the groundsman preparing pitches to suit Durham’s strength – for Steve Harmison and Graham Onions, etc. If Andy Flower has had any of his usual negative influence on the type of pitch we will get, that is the last sort of wicket we will see this week. It will be like every other pitch we have had so far this series.

Will England shake the bowling up? And will Australia play Ryan Harris in back to back Test matches? Those are the two main questions. England like Bresnan and Braod for their batting, even though they are picked to bowl.

The Aussies will probably tinker with the batting line up and bruise Shane Watson’s ego. I don’t see him getting dropped, as he is an invaluable 5th bowler. Australia’s Paul Collingwood if you like 🙂

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